About 20% of global oil supply passes through the Strait. Drawing on academic studies and the experience of past supply outages, Bloomberg Economics estimates that a 1% drop in supply pushes prices up by about 4%.
For Europe, sustained higher energy prices would take the economy to the brink of recession. For the US, they would place the Federal Reserve in an impossible position.
The Times of London: “The CIA and Israel are working to arm Kurdish forces in Iraq and Iran to take on the regime in Tehran, sparking fears of sectarian conflict and a widening regional war drawing in Syria and Turkey”
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